Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Morgan Frost
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 49.2% vs Frost 50.6% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Kotkaniemi leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 56.7%
Defensive zone
Frost 52.0%
Neutral zone
Frost 56.5%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Kotkaniemi
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
9
(19 meetings)
10
9
Kotkaniemi
Frost
Last 10: Kotkaniemi 5-5 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
2
Kotkaniemi
Frost
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
4
3
Kotkaniemi
Frost
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
5
4
Kotkaniemi
Frost
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (3,852)
49.7% (3,652)
-0.7%
Power Play
51.3% (351)
55.4% (632)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (35)
55.0% (40)
-9.3%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,784).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Frost is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,843).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Frost
Home
49.7% (2,197)
51.4% (2,101)
Away
48.7% (2,041)
49.8% (2,223)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Frost
P1
49.9%
51.2%
P2
50.4%
51.3%
P3
47.2%
48.8%
OT
50.0%
64.9%
Final 5 min
49.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.2%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 01:57 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 06:21 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 01:42 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 09:46 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 02:44 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 05:39 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 03:23 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 1 | 17:12 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 16:36 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 18:23 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 19:59 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 11:26 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 04:30 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 14:52 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 00:19 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 01:11 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 05:27 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 3 | 09:07 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 01:45 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |