Macklin Celebrini vs Morgan Frost
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Celebrini 48.7% vs Frost 56.4% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 10-1 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Celebrini 88.1%
Defensive zone
Celebrini 84.1%
Neutral zone
Celebrini 82.9%
Result
Macklin Celebrini favored at 85.9%
85.9%
14.1%
Celebrini
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
10
(11 meetings)
1
10
Celebrini
Frost
Last 10: Celebrini 1-9 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
5
Celebrini
Frost
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
2
Celebrini
Frost
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
0
3
Celebrini
Frost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Celebrini
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (993)
56.0% (755)
-8.2%
Power Play
54.1% (111)
60.1% (173)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
56.0% (25)
88.9% (9)
-32.9%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +32.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Celebrini is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (775).
Celebrini shoots left. Frost is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (647).
Home / Away
Celebrini
Frost
Home
48.5% (538)
57.3% (497)
Away
48.7% (591)
56.8% (440)
By Period
Celebrini
Frost
P1
48.1%
60.2%
P2
46.8%
56.0%
P3
51.0%
54.8%
OT
57.1%
63.6%
Final 5 min
46.1%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Celebrini
48.0%▲
44.5%
48.6%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 07:13 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 15:43 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 09:23 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 09:16 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 06:52 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 01:20 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 16:46 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 10:47 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 01:02 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 03:28 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 03:17 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |