Macklin Celebrini vs Morgan Frost
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Celebrini on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Celebrini 48.4% vs Frost 51.1% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 87.5%
Defensive zone
Frost 67.5%
Neutral zone
Frost 75.4%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 73.1%
26.9%
73.1%
Celebrini
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Celebrini
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
1
0
Celebrini
Frost
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
3
0
Celebrini
Frost
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Celebrini
1
0
Celebrini
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Celebrini
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (901)
50.3% (825)
-3.1%
Power Play
54.7% (139)
54.9% (204)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
50.0% (4)
+4.5%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Celebrini is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (711).
Celebrini shoots left. Frost is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Celebrini
Frost
Home
47.6% (553)
50.7% (489)
Away
49.0% (498)
51.7% (544)
By Period
Celebrini
Frost
P1
46.6%
53.6%
P2
46.4%
47.8%
P3
51.8%
52.0%
OT
41.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
48.7%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Celebrini
44.0%▼
52.5%
48.2%
Frost
74.0%▲
55.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2025 | 3 | 04:23 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 16:50 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 17:43 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 04:52 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |