Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Misa wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Misa 45.1% vs Frost 56.3% (-13.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Misa 68.3%
Defensive zone
Misa 85.5%
Neutral zone
Misa 78.9%
Result
Michael Misa favored at 74.8%
74.8%
25.2%
Misa
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Misa
Frost
Last 8: Misa 2-6 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
4
Misa
Frost
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
2
Misa
Frost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Misa
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (247)
55.8% (745)
-12.1%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
60.5% (172)
-24.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
88.9% (9)
-88.9%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +88.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Misa is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (167).
Misa shoots left. Frost is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Home / Away
Misa
Frost
Home
52.3% (107)
57.3% (497)
Away
36.8% (152)
56.6% (429)
By Period
Misa
Frost
P1
41.0%
60.1%
P2
41.3%
56.0%
P3
48.6%
54.7%
Final 5 min
49.0%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Misa
48.0%▲
42.5%
43.2%
Frost
68.0%▲
62.0%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 06:28 | Offensive | Michael Misa |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 07:30 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 16:45 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 17:26 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 06:46 | Defensive | Michael Misa |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 06:42 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 11:05 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 10:36 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |