Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Geekie on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 50.6% vs Geekie 48.5% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Geekie leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 55.2%
Defensive zone
Geekie 75.2%
Neutral zone
Geekie 61.7%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
Frost
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
11
(18 meetings)
7
11
Frost
Geekie
Last 10: Frost 3-7 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
4
1
Frost
Geekie
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
7
Frost
Geekie
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Frost
Geekie
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (3,652)
48.7% (2,310)
+1.0%
Power Play
55.4% (632)
46.0% (189)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (40)
45.7% (129)
+9.3%
On power play, Frost has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Frost is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,481).
Frost shoots left. Geekie is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,927).
Home / Away
Frost
Geekie
Home
51.4% (2,101)
50.1% (1,283)
Away
49.8% (2,223)
46.8% (1,345)
By Period
Frost
Geekie
P1
51.2%
48.6%
P2
51.3%
48.9%
P3
48.8%
47.7%
OT
64.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
50.6%
Geekie
46.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 15:34 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 15:29 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 03:37 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 10:09 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 07:19 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 18:40 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 15:35 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 15:22 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 18:12 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 09:12 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 09:04 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 04:37 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 14:09 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 01:17 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 01:38 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 14:43 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 05:52 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 3 | 03:34 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |