Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 50.5% vs Foligno 48.6% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Foligno leads 10-10 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 58.9%
Defensive zone
Foligno 56.5%
Neutral zone
Frost 51.6%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Frost
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
10
(20 meetings)
10
10
Frost
Foligno
Last 10: Frost 7-3 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
6
4
Frost
Foligno
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
2
4
Frost
Foligno
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Frost
Foligno
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (3,642)
48.3% (2,840)
+1.3%
Power Play
55.5% (631)
52.3% (731)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (40)
44.0% (457)
+11.0%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Frost is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,832).
Frost shoots left. Foligno is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,512).
Home / Away
Frost
Foligno
Home
51.4% (2,101)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
49.7% (2,212)
47.2% (2,017)
By Period
Frost
Foligno
P1
51.1%
47.8%
P2
51.3%
50.5%
P3
48.7%
48.2%
OT
64.9%
29.7%
Final 5 min
48.8%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
68.0%▲
62.0%
50.5%
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 01:23 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 02:39 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 2 | 12:49 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 2 | 12:02 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 17:46 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 03:40 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 04:55 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 13:05 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 08:27 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 00:37 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 17:00 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 10:25 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 2 | 10:59 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 1 | 08:06 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 1 | 05:31 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 13:45 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 10:58 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 09:32 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 05:54 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 1 | 11:50 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |