Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Aman on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 50.6% vs Aman 41.1% (+10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aman 59.4%
Defensive zone
Aman 87.8%
Neutral zone
Aman 78.4%
Result
Nils Aman favored at 81.0%
19.0%
81.0%
Frost
Aman
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Frost
Aman
Last 7: Frost 2-5 Aman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
0
Frost
Aman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aman
0
4
Frost
Aman
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Frost
Aman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Aman
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (3,652)
40.2% (664)
+9.5%
Power Play
55.4% (632)
33.3% (9)
+22.1%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (40)
34.3% (35)
+20.7%
On power play, Frost has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aman shoots left. Frost is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,843).
Frost shoots left. Aman is 39.5% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Frost
Aman
Home
51.4% (2,101)
39.6% (341)
Away
49.8% (2,223)
40.1% (367)
By Period
Frost
Aman
P1
51.2%
41.9%
P2
51.3%
42.1%
P3
48.8%
35.5%
Final 5 min
49.0%
36.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
50.6%
Aman
38.0%▼
40.5%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 16:09 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 10:04 | Neutral | Nils Aman |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 16:26 | Defensive | Nils Aman |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 13:20 | Defensive | Nils Aman |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 05:27 | Defensive | Nils Aman |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 18:02 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 07:44 | Defensive | Nils Aman |