Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Frost wins 58.1% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 56.4% vs Danault 54.5% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 73.4%
Defensive zone
Danault 83.4%
Neutral zone
Danault 62.0%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
Frost
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Frost
Danault
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Frost
Danault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (755)
56.2% (745)
-0.2%
Power Play
60.1% (173)
45.1% (51)
+15.0%
Penalty Kill
88.9% (9)
51.6% (124)
+37.3%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +37.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Frost is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (647).
Frost shoots left. Danault is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Frost
Danault
Home
57.3% (497)
56.7% (402)
Away
56.8% (440)
53.7% (518)
By Period
Frost
Danault
P1
60.2%
55.5%
P2
56.0%
54.2%
P3
54.8%
55.2%
OT
63.6%
55.6%
Final 5 min
52.6%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
57.1%
Danault
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 03:56 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |