Morgan Frost vs Pierre-Luc Dubois
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Frost wins 58.0% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 56.3% vs Dubois 48.9% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 95.9%
Defensive zone
Frost 84.5%
Neutral zone
Frost 87.6%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 89.0%
89.0%
11.0%
Frost
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Frost
Dubois
Last 6: Frost 5-1 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
0
Frost
Dubois
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
4
1
Frost
Dubois
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (745)
44.8% (259)
+11.0%
Power Play
60.5% (172)
70.6% (34)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
88.9% (9)
75.0% (8)
+13.9%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Frost is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Frost shoots left. Dubois is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (171).
Home / Away
Frost
Dubois
Home
57.3% (497)
46.6% (163)
Away
56.6% (429)
50.7% (138)
By Period
Frost
Dubois
P1
60.1%
44.0%
P2
56.0%
51.5%
P3
54.7%
49.5%
OT
63.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
68.0%▲
62.0%
57.0%
Dubois
40.0%▼
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 14:16 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 02:46 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 00:17 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |