Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Frost wins 58.1% vs left-shot opponents — Byfield shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 56.4% vs Byfield 45.8% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Byfield leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 80.7%
Defensive zone
Byfield 74.6%
Neutral zone
Byfield 54.6%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Frost
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Frost
Byfield
Last 10: Frost 6-4 Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
5
2
Frost
Byfield
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
1
2
Frost
Byfield
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Byfield
1
3
Frost
Byfield
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (755)
46.8% (801)
+9.2%
Power Play
60.1% (173)
50.8% (59)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
88.9% (9)
35.9% (153)
+53.0%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +53.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Frost is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (647).
Frost shoots left. Byfield is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Home / Away
Frost
Byfield
Home
57.3% (497)
46.3% (462)
Away
56.8% (440)
44.6% (551)
By Period
Frost
Byfield
P1
60.2%
44.6%
P2
56.0%
43.4%
P3
54.8%
48.7%
OT
63.6%
37.9%
Final 5 min
52.6%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
57.1%
Byfield
54.0%▼
57.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 11:07 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 04:18 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 01:15 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 04:11 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 14:00 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 00:56 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 18:22 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 13, 2025 | OT | 00:33 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 17:59 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 09:07 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 19:46 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 03:34 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |