Morgan Frost vs Rourke Chartier
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 50.0%). Look for Chartier on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 50.6% vs Chartier 50.0% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 73.1%
Defensive zone
Chartier 82.9%
Neutral zone
Chartier 62.3%
Result
Rourke Chartier favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Frost
Chartier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Frost
Chartier
Last 6: Frost 1-5 Chartier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Frost
Chartier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chartier
0
1
Frost
Chartier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chartier
0
3
Frost
Chartier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Chartier
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (3,652)
50.8% (329)
-1.1%
Power Play
55.4% (632)
66.7% (6)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (40)
45.6% (79)
+9.4%
On power play, Chartier has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chartier shoots left. Frost is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,843).
Frost shoots left. Chartier is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (277).
Home / Away
Frost
Chartier
Home
51.4% (2,101)
48.3% (240)
Away
49.8% (2,223)
52.3% (174)
By Period
Frost
Chartier
P1
51.2%
51.5%
P2
51.3%
48.1%
P3
48.8%
50.3%
Final 5 min
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
50.6%
Chartier
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 12:19 | Offensive | Rourke Chartier |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 14:56 | Defensive | Rourke Chartier |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 1 | 16:40 | Neutral | Rourke Chartier |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 11:01 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 16:51 | Neutral | Rourke Chartier |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 10:47 | Neutral | Rourke Chartier |