Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 50.6% vs Donato 44.7% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 87.3%
Defensive zone
Frost 84.4%
Neutral zone
Frost 88.5%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 86.8%
86.8%
13.2%
Frost
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Frost
Donato
Last 10: Frost 7-3 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
3
1
Frost
Donato
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Donato
1
2
Frost
Donato
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
3
0
Frost
Donato
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (3,652)
44.0% (1,218)
+5.7%
Power Play
55.4% (632)
46.0% (248)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (40)
41.7% (12)
+13.3%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Frost is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,843).
Frost shoots left. Donato is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (909).
Home / Away
Frost
Donato
Home
51.4% (2,101)
47.2% (743)
Away
49.8% (2,223)
41.4% (735)
By Period
Frost
Donato
P1
51.2%
43.8%
P2
51.3%
44.9%
P3
48.8%
43.7%
OT
64.9%
70.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
50.6%
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 07:04 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 2 | 16:43 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 2 | 04:47 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 12:57 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 11:14 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 10:50 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 06:58 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 06:32 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 01:25 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 01:19 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |