Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 50.6% vs McLeod 49.5% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 12-4 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 90.5%
Defensive zone
McLeod 50.1%
Neutral zone
Frost 71.4%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 76.9%
76.9%
23.1%
Frost
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
4
(16 meetings)
12
4
Frost
McLeod
Last 10: Frost 8-2 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
6
2
Frost
McLeod
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
3
0
Frost
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
3
2
Frost
McLeod
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (3,652)
50.4% (3,376)
-0.7%
Power Play
55.4% (632)
50.7% (296)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (40)
44.1% (644)
+10.9%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Frost is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,843).
Frost shoots left. McLeod is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,809).
Home / Away
Frost
McLeod
Home
51.4% (2,101)
50.0% (2,202)
Away
49.8% (2,223)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Frost
McLeod
P1
51.2%
50.8%
P2
51.3%
48.0%
P3
48.8%
50.0%
OT
64.9%
37.1%
Final 5 min
49.0%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
50.6%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 15:53 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 16:44 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 16:32 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 06:54 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 1 | 19:07 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 1 | 12:50 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 1 | 08:44 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 11:05 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 18:49 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 19:57 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 09:04 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 08:12 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 12:39 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:42 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 17:53 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 3 | 01:04 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |