Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 50.6% vs Bennett 47.2% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Bennett leads 17-13 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 56.3%
Defensive zone
Bennett 66.9%
Neutral zone
Bennett 60.4%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Frost
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
17
(30 meetings)
13
17
Frost
Bennett
Last 10: Frost 4-6 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
3
5
Frost
Bennett
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
4
3
Frost
Bennett
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
6
9
Frost
Bennett
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (3,652)
46.8% (5,714)
+2.9%
Power Play
55.4% (632)
53.6% (558)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (40)
41.8% (256)
+13.2%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Frost is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,843).
Frost shoots left. Bennett is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,259).
Home / Away
Frost
Bennett
Home
51.4% (2,101)
48.3% (3,296)
Away
49.8% (2,223)
45.9% (3,232)
By Period
Frost
Bennett
P1
51.2%
48.0%
P2
51.3%
46.5%
P3
48.8%
46.8%
OT
64.9%
54.8%
Final 5 min
49.0%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
50.6%
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 07:12 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 08:22 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 3 | 14:09 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 1 | 09:41 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 1 | 09:34 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 1 | 03:34 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 14:10 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 10:05 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 09:31 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 02:19 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 05:49 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 05:32 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 01:45 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 17:42 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 17:34 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 12:54 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 08:15 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 07:49 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 07:40 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 08:29 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |