Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 50.6% vs Couturier 52.6% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 51.7%
Defensive zone
Couturier 88.7%
Neutral zone
Couturier 71.5%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 67.6%
32.4%
67.6%
Frost
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Frost
Couturier
Last 10: Frost 8-2 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
5
1
Frost
Couturier
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
3
Frost
Couturier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
3
0
Frost
Couturier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (3,652)
52.5% (11,097)
-2.8%
Power Play
55.4% (632)
59.7% (1,280)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (40)
48.5% (1,823)
+6.5%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Frost is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,843).
Frost shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (8,936).
Home / Away
Frost
Couturier
Home
51.4% (2,101)
53.4% (7,171)
Away
49.8% (2,223)
51.8% (7,036)
By Period
Frost
Couturier
P1
51.2%
52.6%
P2
51.3%
52.6%
P3
48.8%
52.9%
OT
64.9%
49.6%
Final 5 min
49.0%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
50.6%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 16:26 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 16:13 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 10:25 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 10:21 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 07:06 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 03:02 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 17:31 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 15:13 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 10:36 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 10:30 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:31 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 17:11 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |