Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 50.4%). Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 50.6% vs Pinto 50.4% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Pinto leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 80.1%
Defensive zone
Pinto 75.9%
Neutral zone
Pinto 50.7%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Frost
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
13
(24 meetings)
11
13
Frost
Pinto
Last 10: Frost 4-6 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
6
1
Frost
Pinto
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
2
7
Frost
Pinto
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
3
5
Frost
Pinto
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (3,652)
50.7% (2,752)
-1.0%
Power Play
55.4% (632)
54.4% (90)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (40)
45.6% (239)
+9.4%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Frost is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,481).
Frost shoots left. Pinto is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,216).
Home / Away
Frost
Pinto
Home
51.4% (2,101)
51.1% (1,510)
Away
49.8% (2,223)
49.6% (1,571)
By Period
Frost
Pinto
P1
51.2%
48.4%
P2
51.3%
51.9%
P3
48.8%
50.9%
OT
64.9%
46.7%
Final 5 min
49.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
50.6%
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 18:18 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 12:34 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 01:30 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 01:24 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 17:11 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 17:01 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 13:33 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 10:05 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 05:56 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 02:08 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 16:06 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 13:39 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 12:14 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 01:08 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 11:45 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 1 | 13:29 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 1 | 05:59 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 18:39 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |