Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Frost wins 58.1% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 56.4% vs Blueger 48.1% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 98.3%
Defensive zone
Frost 71.6%
Neutral zone
Frost 87.3%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 84.7%
84.7%
15.3%
Frost
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Frost
Blueger
Last 6: Frost 6-0 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
0
Frost
Blueger
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
5
0
Frost
Blueger
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (755)
49.4% (265)
+6.6%
Power Play
60.1% (173)
66.7% (9)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
88.9% (9)
34.0% (50)
+54.9%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +54.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Frost is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (647).
Frost shoots left. Blueger is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Frost
Blueger
Home
57.3% (497)
49.8% (215)
Away
56.8% (440)
43.1% (109)
By Period
Frost
Blueger
P1
60.2%
46.4%
P2
56.0%
50.4%
P3
54.8%
44.8%
OT
63.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.6%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
57.1%
Blueger
48.0%▬
47.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 02:25 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 04:47 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 04:36 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 18:53 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 05:14 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 04:59 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |