Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Frost wins 58.0% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 56.3% vs Blueger 47.4% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 98.1%
Defensive zone
Frost 73.1%
Neutral zone
Frost 88.1%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 85.6%
85.6%
14.4%
Frost
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Frost
Blueger
Last 6: Frost 6-0 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
0
Frost
Blueger
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
5
0
Frost
Blueger
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (745)
48.2% (253)
+7.6%
Power Play
60.5% (172)
66.7% (9)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
88.9% (9)
34.7% (49)
+54.2%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +54.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Frost is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Frost shoots left. Blueger is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (207).
Home / Away
Frost
Blueger
Home
57.3% (497)
49.8% (215)
Away
56.6% (429)
39.6% (96)
By Period
Frost
Blueger
P1
60.1%
45.8%
P2
56.0%
50.4%
P3
54.7%
42.2%
OT
63.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
68.0%▲
62.0%
57.0%
Blueger
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 02:25 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 04:47 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 04:36 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 18:53 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 05:14 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 04:59 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |