Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 53.3% vs Geekie 49.3% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 58.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 76.1%
Neutral zone
Eller 60.6%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Eller
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Eller
Geekie
Last 5: Eller 4-1 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Geekie
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Geekie
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
1
Eller
Geekie
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (865)
49.9% (505)
+3.9%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
0.0% (6)
+57.1%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (137)
48.4% (93)
+4.2%
On power play, Eller has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Eller is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Eller shoots left. Geekie is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (437).
Home / Away
Eller
Geekie
Home
56.4% (486)
50.0% (314)
Away
51.2% (537)
48.3% (290)
By Period
Eller
Geekie
P1
55.1%
51.3%
P2
55.3%
46.9%
P3
51.7%
49.5%
Final 5 min
51.0%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
53.7%
Geekie
46.0%▬
47.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2023 | 2 | 09:52 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 19:12 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 09:35 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 17:51 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 17:47 | Defensive | Lars Eller |