Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Geekie on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 48.5% vs Dowd 50.7% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Geekie leads 16-11 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Geekie 86.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 90.6%
Neutral zone
Dowd 69.2%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Geekie
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
11
(27 meetings)
16
11
Geekie
Dowd
Last 10: Geekie 6-4 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
11
0
Geekie
Dowd
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
8
Geekie
Dowd
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Geekie
Dowd
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (2,310)
52.3% (6,036)
-3.6%
Power Play
46.0% (189)
56.1% (164)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (129)
44.1% (1,638)
+1.6%
On power play, Dowd has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Geekie is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (701).
Geekie shoots right. Dowd is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,681).
Home / Away
Geekie
Dowd
Home
50.1% (1,283)
51.9% (3,917)
Away
46.8% (1,345)
49.5% (3,922)
By Period
Geekie
Dowd
P1
48.6%
51.5%
P2
48.9%
50.4%
P3
47.7%
50.3%
OT
50.0%
45.9%
Final 5 min
47.6%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 06:33 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 16:39 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 05:47 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 04:37 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 15:11 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 11:08 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 07:53 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 07:36 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 02:25 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 10:33 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 07:16 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 15:39 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 19:25 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 08:11 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 17:16 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 14:03 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 04:33 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 09:01 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 19:56 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 19:34 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |