Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 47.7% vs Roy 51.9% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 75.3%
Defensive zone
Roy 88.5%
Neutral zone
Roy 60.8%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Geekie
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Geekie
Roy
Last 5: Geekie 3-2 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
2
0
Geekie
Roy
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
2
Geekie
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Geekie
1
0
Geekie
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (120)
51.9% (547)
-5.2%
Power Play
48.6% (35)
54.1% (37)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
53.3% (92)
-53.3%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +53.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Geekie is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Geekie shoots right. Roy is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Geekie
Roy
Home
46.8% (77)
54.0% (328)
Away
45.7% (81)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Geekie
Roy
P1
42.4%
53.5%
P2
49.1%
51.6%
P3
47.6%
51.6%
Final 5 min
35.4%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.2%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 01:40 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 19:38 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 10:26 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 15:50 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 16:51 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |