Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.4% vs 48.9%). Look for Greig on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Geekie wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 48.5% vs Greig 49.0% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Greig leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Geekie 72.5%
Defensive zone
Greig 61.6%
Neutral zone
Geekie 53.2%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Geekie
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Geekie
Greig
Last 10: Geekie 4-6 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
3
1
Geekie
Greig
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
3
6
Geekie
Greig
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greig
0
1
Geekie
Greig
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (2,310)
48.7% (1,144)
+0.0%
Power Play
46.0% (189)
56.8% (74)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (129)
47.2% (178)
-1.5%
On power play, Greig has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Geekie is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,927).
Geekie shoots right. Greig is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (643).
Home / Away
Geekie
Greig
Home
50.1% (1,283)
49.9% (688)
Away
46.8% (1,345)
48.0% (708)
By Period
Geekie
Greig
P1
48.6%
46.0%
P2
48.9%
51.8%
P3
47.7%
49.1%
OT
50.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
47.6%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 02:11 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 12:51 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 14:09 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 03:24 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 03:07 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 10:57 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 06:18 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 03:04 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 13:25 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 15:41 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 15:26 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 14:46 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 08:19 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 05:43 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |