Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Colton on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Geekie wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 48.5% vs Colton 51.1% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Colton leads 14-9 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Geekie 63.2%
Defensive zone
Geekie 57.9%
Neutral zone
Geekie 58.1%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Geekie
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
14
(23 meetings)
9
14
Geekie
Colton
Last 10: Geekie 1-9 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colton
3
6
Geekie
Colton
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colton
2
5
Geekie
Colton
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Geekie
4
3
Geekie
Colton
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (2,310)
51.6% (1,803)
-2.9%
Power Play
46.0% (189)
48.8% (162)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (129)
34.5% (29)
+11.2%
On penalty kill, Geekie has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Geekie is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,927).
Geekie shoots right. Colton is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Geekie
Colton
Home
50.1% (1,283)
52.0% (1,015)
Away
46.8% (1,345)
50.3% (979)
By Period
Geekie
Colton
P1
48.6%
53.7%
P2
48.9%
52.6%
P3
47.7%
47.9%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Colton
46.0%▲
44.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 13:04 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 15:36 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 00:52 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 04:42 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 3 | 10:27 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 3 | 00:42 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 3 | 00:30 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 1 | 08:53 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 1 | 05:52 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 3 | 15:08 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 3 | 05:10 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 2 | 18:32 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 2 | 08:48 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 17:09 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 19:11 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 14:21 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 3 | 05:36 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 08:53 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 16:56 | Neutral | Ross Colton |