Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Geekie on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings). Geekie wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 48.5% vs McLeod 49.5% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Geekie leads 19-15 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Geekie 58.8%
Defensive zone
McLeod 59.9%
Neutral zone
McLeod 51.5%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Geekie
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
15
(34 meetings)
19
15
Geekie
McLeod
Last 10: Geekie 4-6 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
8
9
Geekie
McLeod
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
3
2
Geekie
McLeod
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Geekie
8
4
Geekie
McLeod
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (2,310)
50.4% (3,376)
-1.7%
Power Play
46.0% (189)
50.7% (296)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (129)
44.1% (644)
+1.6%
On power play, McLeod has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Geekie is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,927).
Geekie shoots right. McLeod is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,507).
Home / Away
Geekie
McLeod
Home
50.1% (1,283)
50.0% (2,202)
Away
46.8% (1,345)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Geekie
McLeod
P1
48.6%
50.8%
P2
48.9%
48.0%
P3
47.7%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
37.1%
Final 5 min
47.6%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2026 | 1 | 19:53 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 18:43 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 14:20 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 07:20 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 01:22 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 17:54 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 04:02 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 3 | 06:02 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 2 | 14:43 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 1 | 04:44 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 16:45 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 09:42 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 18:23 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 02:14 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 01:56 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 01:52 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 13:19 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 07:03 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 03:14 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 3 | 13:23 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |