Scouting Report
Morgan Geekie holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Geekie on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 48.5% vs Strome 44.6% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Geekie leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Geekie 61.8%
Defensive zone
Geekie 62.2%
Neutral zone
Geekie 62.2%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Geekie
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Geekie
Strome
Last 10: Geekie 7-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
5
0
Geekie
Strome
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Geekie
Strome
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Geekie
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (2,310)
44.2% (6,887)
+4.5%
Power Play
46.0% (189)
49.2% (855)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (129)
41.5% (410)
+4.2%
On even strength, Geekie has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Geekie is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (701).
Geekie shoots right. Strome is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,379).
Home / Away
Geekie
Strome
Home
50.1% (1,283)
44.4% (4,077)
Away
46.8% (1,345)
44.8% (4,075)
By Period
Geekie
Strome
P1
48.6%
43.9%
P2
48.9%
45.4%
P3
47.7%
44.4%
OT
50.0%
46.3%
Final 5 min
47.6%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 17:11 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 11:32 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 11:26 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 00:30 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 06:41 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 06:29 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 3 | 08:44 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 04:30 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 10:16 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 1 | 11:06 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 1 | 11:21 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |