Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Geekie on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings). Geekie wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 48.5% vs Kuraly 50.4% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Geekie leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Geekie 77.1%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 89.6%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 73.5%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Geekie
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
6
(17 meetings)
11
6
Geekie
Kuraly
Last 10: Geekie 5-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
7
4
Geekie
Kuraly
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
3
1
Geekie
Kuraly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Geekie
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (2,310)
51.6% (5,161)
-2.9%
Power Play
46.0% (189)
56.4% (101)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (129)
44.4% (1,091)
+1.3%
On power play, Kuraly has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Geekie is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,927).
Geekie shoots right. Kuraly is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,235).
Home / Away
Geekie
Kuraly
Home
50.1% (1,283)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
46.8% (1,345)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
Geekie
Kuraly
P1
48.6%
51.2%
P2
48.9%
50.0%
P3
47.7%
50.2%
OT
50.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
47.6%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 17:32 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 2 | 04:52 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 3 | 16:42 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 1 | 12:42 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 09:09 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 07:06 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 06:55 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 09:18 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 09:10 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 05:37 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 08:27 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 16:27 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 00:33 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 16:43 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 07:08 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 12:36 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 01:54 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |