Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Geekie wins 42.4% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 47.7% vs Aho 50.5% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 69.9%
Defensive zone
Geekie 53.6%
Neutral zone
Geekie 61.0%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Geekie
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Geekie
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Geekie
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
1
0
Geekie
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
2
Geekie
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (120)
50.5% (878)
-3.8%
Power Play
48.6% (35)
53.5% (144)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
44.3% (61)
-44.3%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +44.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Geekie is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (99).
Geekie shoots right. Aho is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (380).
Home / Away
Geekie
Aho
Home
46.8% (77)
53.8% (571)
Away
45.7% (81)
46.9% (512)
By Period
Geekie
Aho
P1
42.4%
49.0%
P2
49.1%
51.7%
P3
47.6%
50.3%
OT
50.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
35.4%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.2%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 15:12 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 15:46 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 06:59 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 03:12 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |