Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.2% vs 45.5%). Geekie wins 42.4% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 47.7% vs Gourde 46.0% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 86.9%
Defensive zone
Gourde 71.0%
Neutral zone
Gourde 51.3%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 86.9%
86.9%
13.1%
Geekie
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Geekie
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
2
0
Geekie
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (120)
47.2% (687)
-0.5%
Power Play
48.6% (35)
45.0% (20)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
33.0% (88)
-33.0%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +33.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Geekie is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (99).
Geekie shoots right. Gourde is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Geekie
Gourde
Home
46.8% (77)
44.4% (356)
Away
45.7% (81)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Geekie
Gourde
P1
42.4%
42.2%
P2
49.1%
50.0%
P3
47.6%
44.5%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
35.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.2%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | 3 | 08:38 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 1 | 07:12 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |