Morgan Geekie vs Zemgus Girgensons
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Morgan Geekie holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Girgensons on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Geekie wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 48.5% vs Girgensons 45.4% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 56.5%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 60.8%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 54.4%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Geekie
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Geekie
Girgensons
Last 8: Geekie 2-6 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Geekie
Girgensons
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Geekie
Girgensons
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
4
Geekie
Girgensons
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (2,310)
45.5% (2,718)
+3.2%
Power Play
46.0% (189)
49.1% (175)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (129)
42.2% (483)
+3.5%
On penalty kill, Geekie has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Geekie is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,927).
Geekie shoots right. Girgensons is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,298).
Home / Away
Geekie
Girgensons
Home
50.1% (1,283)
45.5% (1,693)
Away
46.8% (1,345)
45.0% (1,683)
By Period
Geekie
Girgensons
P1
48.6%
45.8%
P2
48.9%
44.1%
P3
47.7%
45.7%
OT
50.0%
52.5%
Final 5 min
47.6%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 06:59 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 05:25 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 02:20 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 3 | 19:35 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 2 | 07:47 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 2 | 04:59 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 2 | 01:53 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 10:25 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |