Scouting Report
Ryan Greene holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Greene on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Danielson wins 34.2% vs right-shot opponents — Greene shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danielson 42.7% vs Greene 43.9% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danielson 66.9%
Defensive zone
Danielson 50.1%
Neutral zone
Greene 50.3%
Result
Nate Danielson favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Danielson
Greene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Danielson
Greene
Last 6: Danielson 1-5 Greene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Greene
0
1
Danielson
Greene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greene
0
2
Danielson
Greene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greene
1
2
Danielson
Greene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danielson
Greene
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (140)
43.6% (512)
-5.7%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
46.8% (62)
-26.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
40.1% (167)
+59.9%
On penalty kill, Danielson has a +59.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greene shoots right. Danielson is 34.2% vs right-shot opponents (38).
Danielson shoots right. Greene is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Danielson
Greene
Home
38.4% (99)
47.4% (382)
Away
36.2% (47)
38.4% (359)
By Period
Danielson
Greene
P1
41.2%
46.8%
P2
37.7%
37.6%
P3
33.3%
45.2%
Final 5 min
40.0%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danielson
32.0%▼
37.7%
37.7%
Greene
26.0%▼
34.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 08:49 | Offensive | Ryan Greene |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 02:39 | Neutral | Ryan Greene |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 03:08 | Neutral | Ryan Greene |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 02:59 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 15:10 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 04:19 | Neutral | Nate Danielson |