Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Thompson wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Regin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 52.9% vs Regin 44.3% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 85.3%
Defensive zone
Thompson 97.9%
Neutral zone
Thompson 91.8%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 90.4%
90.4%
9.6%
Thompson
Regin
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
1
(10 meetings)
9
1
Thompson
Regin
Last 10: Thompson 9-1 Regin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
4
1
Thompson
Regin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
3
0
Thompson
Regin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
0
Thompson
Regin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Regin
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (5,812)
45.8% (836)
+8.3%
Power Play
54.8% (135)
39.2% (74)
+15.6%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (1,381)
24.7% (73)
+23.2%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Regin shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Thompson shoots left. Regin is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Thompson
Regin
Home
54.8% (3,626)
42.6% (533)
Away
51.1% (3,717)
45.1% (450)
By Period
Thompson
Regin
P1
53.2%
46.7%
P2
52.9%
43.9%
P3
52.8%
40.8%
OT
47.9%
42.9%
Final 5 min
51.6%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Regin
54.0%▲
48.0%
43.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2013 | 3 | 10:21 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 3 | 05:52 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 2 | 03:44 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 2 | 02:29 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 2 | 02:25 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 3 | 02:34 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 2 | 11:39 | Offensive | Peter Regin |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 2 | 06:03 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 1 | 14:40 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 3 | 12:41 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |