Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Thompson wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Sheahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 54.3% vs Sheahan 47.5% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sheahan 75.4%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 72.5%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 66.9%
Result
Riley Sheahan favored at 66.9%
33.1%
66.9%
Thompson
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Thompson
Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sheahan
0
2
Thompson
Sheahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (236)
50.7% (357)
+4.8%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
50.0% (8)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
40.2% (194)
+16.3%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Thompson is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Thompson shoots left. Sheahan is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Thompson
Sheahan
Home
53.1% (128)
44.8% (248)
Away
57.9% (159)
48.9% (311)
By Period
Thompson
Sheahan
P1
59.0%
46.2%
P2
55.4%
50.5%
P3
52.6%
44.7%
Final 5 min
51.4%
43.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2021 | 1 | 12:12 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 1 | 09:18 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |