Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Thompson wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 54.3% vs Hartman 45.3% (+10.9%)
Offensive zone
Hartman 77.6%
Defensive zone
Thompson 73.0%
Neutral zone
Hartman 55.2%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Thompson
Hartman
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (236)
44.8% (936)
+10.7%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
49.4% (154)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
33.3% (54)
+23.2%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Thompson is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Thompson shoots left. Hartman is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Home / Away
Thompson
Hartman
Home
53.1% (128)
47.4% (568)
Away
57.9% (159)
42.4% (576)
By Period
Thompson
Hartman
P1
59.0%
47.2%
P2
55.4%
43.4%
P3
52.6%
43.8%
Final 5 min
51.4%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%
Hartman
44.0%▲
41.5%
44.8%