Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 50.8% vs Strome 45.4% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 85.6%
Defensive zone
Strome 69.6%
Neutral zone
Strome 76.8%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 75.7%
24.3%
75.7%
Thompson
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Thompson
Strome
Last 10: Thompson 3-7 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
0
Thompson
Strome
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
4
Thompson
Strome
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
1
3
Thompson
Strome
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (785)
42.1% (337)
+10.1%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
61.8% (34)
-18.9%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (175)
66.7% (3)
-21.0%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Thompson is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Thompson shoots left. Strome is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (245).
Home / Away
Thompson
Strome
Home
54.1% (475)
44.3% (194)
Away
47.9% (499)
43.9% (180)
By Period
Thompson
Strome
P1
50.0%
44.7%
P2
49.5%
44.1%
P3
54.0%
42.4%
OT
35.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.5%
41.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
50.9%
Strome
52.0%▲
46.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2014 | 3 | 12:16 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 27, 2014 | 3 | 04:57 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 27, 2014 | 3 | 04:53 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 27, 2014 | 2 | 01:12 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 27, 2014 | 2 | 00:57 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 27, 2014 | 1 | 04:06 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 1 | 10:56 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 1 | 00:08 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |