Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 52.9% vs Strome 44.6% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 15-12 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 81.4%
Defensive zone
Thompson 69.7%
Neutral zone
Strome 61.6%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Thompson
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
15
(27 meetings)
12
15
Thompson
Strome
Last 10: Thompson 7-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
3
4
Thompson
Strome
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
6
4
Thompson
Strome
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
3
7
Thompson
Strome
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (5,812)
44.2% (6,887)
+9.9%
Power Play
54.8% (135)
49.2% (855)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (1,381)
41.5% (410)
+6.4%
On even strength, Thompson has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Thompson is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Thompson shoots left. Strome is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,773).
Home / Away
Thompson
Strome
Home
54.8% (3,626)
44.4% (4,077)
Away
51.1% (3,717)
44.8% (4,075)
By Period
Thompson
Strome
P1
53.2%
43.9%
P2
52.9%
45.4%
P3
52.8%
44.4%
OT
47.9%
46.3%
Final 5 min
51.6%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2020 | 3 | 00:56 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 2 | 14:07 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 3 | 08:39 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 06:51 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 07:28 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 15:00 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 14:00 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 2 | 08:50 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 1 | 14:22 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 1 | 00:45 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 1 | 06:46 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 15:54 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 2 | 03:36 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 18:10 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 5, 2014 | 2 | 18:51 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 5, 2014 | 2 | 05:16 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 5, 2014 | 2 | 00:54 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 27, 2014 | 3 | 12:16 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 27, 2014 | 3 | 04:57 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 27, 2014 | 3 | 04:53 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |