Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Thompson wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kero shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 52.9% vs Kero 46.5% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kero 66.7%
Defensive zone
Thompson 66.7%
Neutral zone
Kero 53.0%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Thompson
Kero
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Thompson
Kero
Last 7: Thompson 3-4 Kero
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
3
2
Thompson
Kero
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kero
0
2
Thompson
Kero
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Kero
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (5,812)
47.0% (668)
+7.1%
Power Play
54.8% (135)
42.9% (7)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (1,381)
31.9% (47)
+16.0%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kero shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Thompson shoots left. Kero is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Thompson
Kero
Home
54.8% (3,626)
49.1% (332)
Away
51.1% (3,717)
43.3% (390)
By Period
Thompson
Kero
P1
53.2%
47.6%
P2
52.9%
48.8%
P3
52.8%
40.9%
OT
47.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Kero
62.0%▲
48.0%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2017 | 3 | 14:32 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 3 | 04:49 | Neutral | Tanner Kero |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 2 | 04:48 | Defensive | Tanner Kero |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 1 | 12:41 | Defensive | Tanner Kero |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 1 | 12:26 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 1 | 04:52 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 1 | 01:06 | Neutral | Tanner Kero |