Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Thompson wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 52.9% vs Smith 48.7% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Thompson
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Thompson
Smith
Last 8: Thompson 5-3 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Thompson
Smith
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
0
Thompson
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
4
2
Thompson
Smith
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (5,812)
49.0% (769)
+5.1%
Power Play
54.8% (135)
63.6% (22)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (1,381)
42.4% (118)
+5.5%
On power play, Smith has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Thompson shoots left. Smith is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Home / Away
Thompson
Smith
Home
54.8% (3,626)
52.4% (490)
Away
51.1% (3,717)
44.0% (420)
By Period
Thompson
Smith
P1
53.2%
46.9%
P2
52.9%
51.2%
P3
52.8%
47.7%
OT
47.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2015 | 3 | 18:53 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 14, 2015 | 2 | 04:32 | Offensive | Trevor Smith |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 3 | 08:35 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 3 | 04:17 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 2 | 12:07 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 2 | 02:51 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 1 | 06:30 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 1 | 02:04 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |