Dylan Cozens vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Cozens wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.5% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Cozens leads 21-13 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 64.4%
Defensive zone
Cozens 66.3%
Neutral zone
Cozens 65.7%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Cozens
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
13
(34 meetings)
21
13
Cozens
MacKinnon
Last 10: Cozens 4-6 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Cozens
MacKinnon
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
8
2
Cozens
MacKinnon
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
9
7
Cozens
MacKinnon
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (4,103)
46.1% (11,264)
+2.9%
Power Play
50.3% (717)
53.2% (1,421)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
42.8% (502)
-1.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Cozens is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,457).
Cozens shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,651).
Home / Away
Cozens
MacKinnon
Home
48.3% (2,685)
49.7% (6,471)
Away
48.7% (2,574)
43.9% (6,717)
By Period
Cozens
MacKinnon
P1
49.1%
47.4%
P2
47.8%
46.6%
P3
48.9%
46.1%
OT
34.3%
48.4%
Final 5 min
46.1%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
48.5%
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 16:48 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 13:04 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 14:13 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 2, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 19:40 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 19:35 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 19:10 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 12:43 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 14:18 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 13:17 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 10:04 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 08:10 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 05:45 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:15 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 10:57 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 17:03 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 16:59 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |