Evgeny Kuznetsov vs Nathan MacKinnon
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.3% vs 43.1%). Look for Kuznetsov on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.1% vs MacKinnon 43.8% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 50.6%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 55.0%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 54.1%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Kuznetsov
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Kuznetsov
MacKinnon
Last 6: Kuznetsov 4-2 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
4
1
Kuznetsov
MacKinnon
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Kuznetsov
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (747)
44.4% (743)
-0.9%
Power Play
46.3% (41)
35.7% (70)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (15)
25.9% (27)
+0.8%
On power play, Kuznetsov has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Kuznetsov is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Kuznetsov shoots left. MacKinnon is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
MacKinnon
Home
43.7% (414)
46.4% (394)
Away
42.9% (389)
40.1% (446)
By Period
Kuznetsov
MacKinnon
P1
43.7%
44.4%
P2
44.1%
38.2%
P3
42.1%
46.4%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
43.3%
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2019 | 2 | 16:41 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 2 | 14:46 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 2 | 05:06 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 2 | 03:53 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 1 | 05:15 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 1 | 01:57 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |