Evgeny Kuznetsov vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuznetsov on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 15 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.2% vs MacKinnon 46.7% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Kuznetsov leads 22-11 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 67.8%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 85.8%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 73.0%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 75.1%
24.9%
75.1%
Kuznetsov
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
11
(33 meetings)
22
11
Kuznetsov
MacKinnon
Last 10: Kuznetsov 6-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
6
3
Kuznetsov
MacKinnon
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
4
5
Kuznetsov
MacKinnon
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
12
3
Kuznetsov
MacKinnon
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (8,296)
46.0% (11,051)
-2.1%
Power Play
49.4% (633)
53.2% (1,394)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (272)
42.9% (499)
-4.7%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Kuznetsov is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,083).
Kuznetsov shoots left. MacKinnon is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,367).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
MacKinnon
Home
44.8% (4,622)
49.6% (6,342)
Away
43.4% (4,579)
43.9% (6,603)
By Period
Kuznetsov
MacKinnon
P1
43.6%
47.4%
P2
45.8%
46.5%
P3
42.8%
45.9%
OT
43.2%
47.7%
Final 5 min
44.1%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.1%
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 07:38 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 07:26 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 04:20 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 02:36 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 19:39 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 3 | 10:46 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 2 | 09:00 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 2 | 05:27 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 16:54 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 2 | 12:08 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 16:21 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 16:13 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 09:09 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 2 | 16:41 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 2 | 14:46 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 2 | 05:06 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 2 | 03:53 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 1 | 05:15 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 1 | 01:57 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 7, 2019 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |