Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 51.0% vs Kadri 46.9% (+4.5%)
Offensive zone
Kadri 53.1%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 51.1%
Neutral zone
Kadri 51.8%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
MacKinnon
Kadri
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (1,038)
46.5% (866)
+3.2%
Power Play
63.7% (157)
48.8% (86)
+14.9%
Penalty Kill
34.4% (32)
38.5% (13)
-4.1%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. MacKinnon is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (886).
MacKinnon shoots right. Kadri is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Kadri
Home
53.1% (618)
45.8% (513)
Away
49.1% (609)
47.6% (452)
By Period
MacKinnon
Kadri
P1
49.3%
52.4%
P2
53.0%
48.5%
P3
50.7%
39.7%
OT
66.7%
44.4%
Final 5 min
56.7%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
51.1%
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
46.6%