Nathan MacKinnon vs Nicklas Backstrom

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Nicklas Backstrom holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 20 meetings). MacKinnon wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) MacKinnon 46.7% vs Backstrom 50.5% (-3.8%)
H2H factor Backstrom leads 41-27 in 68 meetings
Offensive zone MacKinnon 69.6%
Defensive zone MacKinnon 67.9%
Neutral zone MacKinnon 73.0%
Result Nathan MacKinnon favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
MacKinnon Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
27 - 41 (68 meetings)
27
41
MacKinnon Backstrom
Last 10: MacKinnon 7-3 Backstrom

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
6
14
MacKinnon Backstrom
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
8
12
MacKinnon Backstrom
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
13
15
MacKinnon Backstrom
28 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
MacKinnon
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (11,051)
50.4% (11,581)
-4.4%
Power Play
53.2% (1,394)
52.3% (1,895)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (499)
47.0% (889)
-4.1%
On even strength, Backstrom has a +4.4% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. MacKinnon is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,367).
MacKinnon shoots right. Backstrom is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (5,430).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Backstrom
Home
49.6% (6,342)
52.6% (7,223)
Away
43.9% (6,603)
48.4% (7,173)
By Period
MacKinnon
Backstrom
P1
47.4%
50.1%
P2
46.5%
49.7%
P3
45.9%
51.6%
OT
47.7%
52.9%
Final 5 min
48.9%
50.5%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
54.0%
54.5%
46.7%
Backstrom
50.0%
48.5%
50.5%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Apr 18, 2022 1 13:32 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Apr 18, 2022 1 11:10 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Apr 18, 2022 1 08:57 Offensive Nicklas Backstrom
Feb 13, 2020 3 18:03 Offensive Nicklas Backstrom
Feb 13, 2020 3 17:56 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 13, 2020 3 03:47 Offensive Nicklas Backstrom
Feb 13, 2020 3 03:33 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 13, 2020 2 03:08 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 13, 2020 2 00:19 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 13, 2020 1 06:45 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 13, 2020 1 00:00 Neutral Nicklas Backstrom
Oct 14, 2019 3 18:01 Offensive Nicklas Backstrom
Oct 14, 2019 3 00:12 Offensive Nicklas Backstrom
Oct 14, 2019 2 14:07 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Oct 14, 2019 1 19:46 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Oct 14, 2019 1 19:36 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 7, 2019 2 00:00 Neutral Nicklas Backstrom
Feb 7, 2019 1 19:41 Offensive Nicklas Backstrom
Feb 7, 2019 1 01:10 Defensive Nicklas Backstrom
Nov 16, 2018 3 17:16 Neutral Nicklas Backstrom