Nathan MacKinnon vs Nico Hischier
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 51.0% vs Hischier 55.4% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 14-11 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 66.5%
Defensive zone
Hischier 86.2%
Neutral zone
Hischier 73.2%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 74.4%
25.6%
74.4%
MacKinnon
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
11
(25 meetings)
14
11
MacKinnon
Hischier
Last 10: MacKinnon 8-2 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
8
1
MacKinnon
Hischier
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
6
MacKinnon
Hischier
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
5
4
MacKinnon
Hischier
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (1,038)
55.5% (1,172)
-5.8%
Power Play
63.7% (157)
64.5% (265)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
34.4% (32)
43.9% (164)
-9.5%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. MacKinnon is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (886).
MacKinnon shoots right. Hischier is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (570).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Hischier
Home
53.1% (618)
56.8% (791)
Away
49.1% (609)
54.8% (810)
By Period
MacKinnon
Hischier
P1
49.3%
56.0%
P2
53.0%
58.6%
P3
50.7%
53.5%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.7%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
51.1%
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 02:33 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 14:54 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 13:07 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 10:35 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 06:02 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 10:33 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 09:50 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 09:39 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:18 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 15:16 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 15:07 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 02:30 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 14:39 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 13:56 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 13:18 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 09:24 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 00:19 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 16:31 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |