Nathan MacKinnon vs Patrik Berglund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Patrik Berglund holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Berglund on defensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings). MacKinnon wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Berglund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.8% vs Berglund 48.7% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Berglund leads 28-21 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 62.0%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 58.5%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 55.7%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
MacKinnon
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
28
(49 meetings)
21
28
MacKinnon
Berglund
Last 10: MacKinnon 5-5 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
13
7
MacKinnon
Berglund
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
3
10
MacKinnon
Berglund
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Berglund
5
11
MacKinnon
Berglund
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (11,264)
49.0% (4,697)
-2.9%
Power Play
53.2% (1,421)
51.3% (548)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (502)
43.2% (461)
-0.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (9,537).
MacKinnon shoots right. Berglund is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,046).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Berglund
Home
49.7% (6,471)
50.9% (2,829)
Away
43.9% (6,717)
46.6% (2,904)
By Period
MacKinnon
Berglund
P1
47.4%
49.3%
P2
46.6%
48.2%
P3
46.1%
49.0%
OT
48.4%
39.7%
Final 5 min
49.1%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2018 | 2 | 09:28 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 1 | 09:16 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 2 | 12:28 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 3 | 18:33 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 3 | 18:22 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 3 | 14:45 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 3 | 06:47 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 3 | 03:26 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 3 | 03:20 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 2 | 14:22 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 2 | 10:11 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 31, 2017 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 2 | 13:44 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 2 | 11:25 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 1 | 16:31 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 1 | 16:22 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 1 | 00:51 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |