Nathan MacKinnon vs Peter Holland
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). MacKinnon wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Holland shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.8% vs Holland 45.9% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 70.6%
Defensive zone
Holland 51.2%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 52.3%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
MacKinnon
Holland
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
MacKinnon
Holland
Last 10: MacKinnon 5-5 Holland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
4
0
MacKinnon
Holland
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
MacKinnon
Holland
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Holland
0
3
MacKinnon
Holland
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Holland
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (11,264)
45.6% (2,232)
+0.5%
Power Play
53.2% (1,421)
52.4% (126)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (502)
42.3% (137)
+0.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holland shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (9,537).
MacKinnon shoots right. Holland is 42.8% vs right-shot opponents (890).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Holland
Home
49.7% (6,471)
48.6% (1,288)
Away
43.9% (6,717)
42.7% (1,207)
By Period
MacKinnon
Holland
P1
47.4%
46.1%
P2
46.6%
47.3%
P3
46.1%
43.9%
OT
48.4%
39.1%
Final 5 min
49.1%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 11:08 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 10:55 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 15:18 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 15:12 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 06:55 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 17:08 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 12:51 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 3 | 10:17 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 3 | 07:35 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 3 | 05:14 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 2 | 14:53 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |