Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 51.0% vs Suter 48.3% (+3.2%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 72.5%
Defensive zone
Suter 72.1%
Neutral zone
Suter 56.4%
Result
Pius Suter favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
MacKinnon
Suter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (1,038)
49.7% (372)
+0.0%
Power Play
63.7% (157)
47.4% (19)
+16.3%
Penalty Kill
34.4% (32)
39.8% (83)
-5.4%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. MacKinnon is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (886).
MacKinnon shoots right. Suter is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Suter
Home
53.1% (618)
47.1% (242)
Away
49.1% (609)
48.7% (232)
By Period
MacKinnon
Suter
P1
49.3%
48.2%
P2
53.0%
47.7%
P3
50.7%
48.8%
OT
66.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
51.1%
Suter
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.9%