Who wins more faceoffs, Nathan MacKinnon or Rickard Rakell?

Nathan MacKinnon leads the head-to-head 6-5 across 11 faceoffs.

What is Nathan MacKinnon's faceoff record against Rickard Rakell?

Nathan MacKinnon is 6-5 against Rickard Rakell in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 1-1, Defensive 3-2, Neutral 2-2.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Nathan MacKinnon or Rickard Rakell?

Nathan MacKinnon is the predicted winner with a 61.2% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Nathan MacKinnon vs Rickard Rakell

Nathan MacKinnonR vs Rickard RakellR

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Nathan MacKinnon holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). MacKinnon wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Rakell shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) MacKinnon 46.8% vs Rakell 44.8% (+2.2%)

H2H factor MacKinnon leads 6-5 in 11 meetings

Offensive zone MacKinnon 53.3%

Defensive zone MacKinnon 69.8%

Neutral zone MacKinnon 54.5%

Result Nathan MacKinnon favored at 61.2%

61.2%

38.8%

MacKinnon Rakell

Head-to-Head Record

6 - 5 (11 meetings)

MacKinnon Rakell

Last 10: MacKinnon 6-4 Rakell

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Even

MacKinnon Rakell

2 total

Defensive Zone

Edge: MacKinnon

MacKinnon Rakell

5 total

Neutral Zone

Even

MacKinnon Rakell

4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

MacKinnon

Rakell

Edge

Even Strength

46.1% (11,255)

44.3% (1,879)

+1.8%

Power Play

53.2% (1,418)

50.2% (203)

+3.0%

Penalty Kill

42.8% (502)

21.7% (23)

+21.1%

On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +21.1% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

Rakell shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,649).

MacKinnon shoots right. Rakell is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (765).

Home / Away

MacKinnon

Rakell

Home

49.7% (6,459)

46.6% (1,055)

Away

43.9% (6,717)

42.5% (1,051)

By Period

MacKinnon

Rakell

47.4%

45.6%

46.6%

42.0%

46.1%

46.2%

48.4%

50.0%

Final 5 min

49.1%

44.7%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

MacKinnon

44.0%▼

51.5%

46.8%

Rakell

42.0%▲

35.5%

44.6%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Mar 16, 2026	3	00:00	Neutral	Rickard Rakell
Mar 16, 2026	2	00:06	Offensive	Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 16, 2026	2	00:00	Neutral	Rickard Rakell
Mar 16, 2026	1	16:49	Defensive	Rickard Rakell
Mar 16, 2026	1	04:08	Neutral	Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 16, 2026	1	00:00	Neutral	Nathan MacKinnon
Jan 15, 2018	1	12:25	Defensive	Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 9, 2016	2	08:58	Defensive	Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 9, 2016	3	04:55	Defensive	Rickard Rakell
Mar 9, 2016	1	16:21	Defensive	Nathan MacKinnon
Oct 16, 2015	3	05:38	Offensive	Rickard Rakell

MacKinnon's Profile | Rakell's Profile