Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 45.9% vs Donato 47.1% (+5.9%)
Offensive zone
Donato 58.7%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 75.1%
Neutral zone
Donato 51.9%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
MacKinnon
Donato
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (755)
30.4% (23)
+15.4%
Power Play
48.3% (60)
53.3% (15)
-5.0%
On even strength, MacKinnon has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
MacKinnon shoots right. Donato is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (13).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Donato
Home
49.5% (396)
47.1% (17)
Away
41.7% (448)
33.3% (21)
By Period
MacKinnon
Donato
P1
50.2%
33.3%
P2
43.8%
28.6%
P3
41.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
41.0%
30.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
45.4%
Donato
60.0%▲
50.5%
39.5%