Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 51.0% vs Reinhart 42.9% (+13.0%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 61.9%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 55.4%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 50.0%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
MacKinnon
Reinhart
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (1,038)
39.0% (77)
+10.7%
Power Play
63.7% (157)
35.4% (48)
+28.3%
Penalty Kill
34.4% (32)
40.9% (22)
-6.5%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +28.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
MacKinnon shoots right. Reinhart is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (31).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Reinhart
Home
53.1% (618)
35.7% (84)
Away
49.1% (609)
41.3% (63)
By Period
MacKinnon
Reinhart
P1
49.3%
42.6%
P2
53.0%
34.7%
P3
50.7%
37.3%
Final 5 min
56.7%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
51.1%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
38.1%