Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.1% vs 50.8%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 51.0% vs Steel 50.6% (+0.3%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 66.6%
Defensive zone
Steel 66.7%
Neutral zone
Steel 50.8%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
MacKinnon
Steel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (1,038)
52.5% (200)
-2.8%
Power Play
63.7% (157)
71.4% (7)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
34.4% (32)
40.0% (45)
-5.6%
On power play, Steel has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. MacKinnon is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (886).
MacKinnon shoots right. Steel is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Steel
Home
53.1% (618)
49.5% (109)
Away
49.1% (609)
51.7% (143)
By Period
MacKinnon
Steel
P1
49.3%
49.5%
P2
53.0%
47.5%
P3
50.7%
56.6%
OT
66.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
51.1%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%